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GBP/USD Forecast: Rally Against the Greenback


Short-term pullbacks are now likely to present buying opportunities. 

  • The GBP/USD experienced an initial pullback during Thursday’s trading session, reflecting the ongoing market volatility.
  • However, a complete turnaround was observed, with a breakout to the upside surpassing the 1.27 level by the time American traders joined the fray.
  • This momentum suggests a market trajectory towards the 1.30 level, fulfilling the upward momentum that has been building.

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Short-term pullbacks are now likely to present buying opportunities. While I previously suggested the possibility of a more substantial pullback, that window appears to have closed. The 1.30 level is likely to be the market’s target over the next few weeks, although this doesn’t necessarily imply a straight upward trajectory. The Federal Reserve’s promise of more rate hikes, coupled with the UK’s employment situation exerting upward pressure on inflation, has shifted central banks’ strategies from a “race to the bottom” to a climb upwards. This should continue to be a major driver of currencies on the whole, including these two.

The 1.2550 level now serves as the market’s floor. However, I must acknowledge that this is a very bullish market, and it appears poised for a significant upward move. Viewing the situation through a lens of bullish pressure, I see no opportunity to short this market in the near future. In fact, a move to short would only be considered if the market broke down below the 1.2350 level, a scenario that seems far removed from the current market dynamics.

Assessing the momentum, it appears to be gathering pace once again. Momentum is a critical factor in market movements and deserves close attention. Given this, I advocate for a “buy on the dip” strategy as a means to acquire a larger position until the overall momentum and fundamentals change. At this point, the risk appetite will be the biggest driver more than anything else.

In the end, the British pound’s performance during Thursday’s trading session was marked by an initial pullback, followed by a complete turnaround and a breakout to the upside. This momentum suggests a market trajectory towards the 1.30 level. Short-term pullbacks are likely to present buying opportunities, and the market’s bullish nature suggests a significant upward move. Given the momentum and market dynamics, a “buy on the dip” strategy could be an effective approach for acquiring British pounds at a lower cost.

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