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Silver Forecast: Remains Tight

It is important to exercise caution and be mindful of position sizing when dealing with silver due to its inherent volatility.

  • The trading session on Monday saw silver experiencing a slight decline, setting off the week on an unfavorable note. However, it is worth noting that silver is still hovering around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, situated between the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA indicators.
  • This suggests the possibility of an impending squeeze. When we trade within the range defined by these two indicators, it often indicates an imminent significant movement.
  • As such, exercising patience may prove beneficial when trading silver at this juncture.


A potential downward scenario involves breaking below the 200-Day EMA, which could open the door to a further decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level, potentially reaching the $22 mark. A breach of this level would pave the way for a more substantial move downwards, with the $20 level becoming a viable target, potentially coinciding with a strengthening US dollar. On the upside, the 50-Day EMA poses a slight resistance just above the $24 level. If silver manages to surpass this hurdle, it is likely to aim for the psychologically significant $25 level, which attracts significant attention. Considering these factors, it seems inevitable that traders will soon assess whether the pullback has provided an opportunity for value hunting. If so, a significant market bounce is probable, potentially pushing silver toward its previous highs.

It is important to exercise caution and be mindful of position sizing when dealing with silver due to its inherent volatility. Silver’s dual nature, as both a precious and industrial metal, adds complexity to its dynamics. Consequently, it is not as straightforward a play as gold within the current environment. Nevertheless, silver retains its place and significance in the market. Diligence is key, and taking the time to enter positions thoughtfully is crucial. Once we break out of the confines established by the moving averages, we can anticipate substantial and potentially lucrative price movements.

At the end of the day, silver continues to navigate through volatility, presenting traders with both challenges and opportunities. Monday’s decline was only a minor setback, as silver remains within the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, the 50-Day EMA, and the 200-Day EMA. Patience is advised, as a significant move appears to be on the horizon. Be cautious in position sizing, given the noise and complexity surrounding silver’s role as both a precious and industrial metal. Nonetheless, silver’s value persists in the current market environment.

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