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Historically, the natural gas market tends to trade within a range during this time of year.
- The natural gas market witnessed a substantial rally during Thursday’s trading session, propelling prices above the 50-Day EMA. This technical indicator holds great significance for traders in the natural gas market due to its technical nature.
- As the summer season approaches, market participants anticipate range-bound trading with a certain level of sluggishness. Analysts predict that the $2.00 level will serve as a crucial support level, potentially acting as a short-term floor throughout the summer.
- Furthermore, a significant “support zone” extends down to the $1.80 level.
Historically, the natural gas market tends to trade within a range during this time of year. However, it is important to note that the market has recently experienced significant selling pressure, which opens the possibility for a potential recovery. If the market breaks above the 50-Day EMA, prices could surge toward the $3.00 level. This price level holds considerable importance as a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and has previously acted as a notable resistance level.
In the later part of the summer, particularly in the northern hemisphere, there is an expectation of increased buying pressure as traders anticipate rising demand from the European Union. Despite the potential for market noise and erratic movements, Europeans are likely to resume purchasing liquid natural gas from the United States, driving up prices in the natural gas market. We will have to wait to see when that time comes, later this year.
Remember, the natural gas market is currently experiencing a rally, with prices approaching the significant $2.50 price level. As the summer progresses, the market is expected to engage in range-bound trading, with the $2.00 level serving as a support level and a potential short-term floor. Additionally, a broader “support zone” extends down to the $1.80 level, providing further stability. A break above the 50-Day EMA could propel prices towards the $3.00 level, which has historically acted as a significant resistance. As the summer continues, increased buying pressure from the European Union is anticipated, as they resume their purchases of liquid natural gas from the United States. Despite potential market noise and volatility, this increased demand is likely to drive the natural gas market higher. Traders and investors should closely monitor key technical levels and developments in European natural gas demand to navigate this market effectively.
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