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Oil Currently Looking for Its Next Move


The establishment of a “summer range” is a possibility in the crude oil markets, reflecting the prevailing indecisiveness and common seasonal patterns.


The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil market displayed indecisiveness during Tuesday’s trading session, hovering above the $70 level. The lack of clear direction suggests that a major move in the short term is unlikely. Whether a breakout or breakdown will occur remains uncertain, and the market currently requires a resolution to the prevailing lack of momentum.

  • A breakdown below the $70 level opens the possibility of a decline towards the $65 level.
  • Conversely, a break above the recent swing high around the $73.50 region could lead to a test of the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and potentially drive the price towards the $80 level.
  • The primary concern in this context is the global economic slowdown, which would inevitably result in decreased demand for crude oil if it materializes.

WTI Crude Oil chart

In the Brent (UK Oil) markets, a similar back-and-forth movement was observed during Wednesday’s trading session. Market participants are grappling with uncertainties surrounding global economic growth. As long as this uncertainty persists, choppiness is likely to prevail. The market is currently attempting to assess whether there will be sufficient demand or if conditions will deteriorate further. Numerous Forex technical indicators point to potential challenges ahead, limiting the upside potential.

  • However, it is worth noting that the $70 level appears to be providing significant support, suggesting that a sharp decline is not anticipated.
  • It is possible that the market is attempting to establish a “summer range,” which is a common occurrence in crude oil markets.
  • At this point, we may very well be heading in that direction, as there is so much uncertainty out there as well.

Brent Crude Oil Chart

At the end of the day, the WTI Crude Oil market and Brent markets are experiencing indecisiveness and back-and-forth movements. The lack of clear direction is attributed to uncertainties surrounding global economic growth and the resultant impact on crude oil demand. The WTI market’s potential movements include a breakdown towards the $65 level or a breakout towards the 50-Day EMA and potentially the $80 level. In the Brent market, choppy trading is expected as market participants assess demand and potential challenges in the global economy. The $70 level is currently acting as support, suggesting a limited downside. The establishment of a “summer range” is a possibility in the crude oil markets, reflecting the prevailing indecisiveness and common seasonal patterns.

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