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Continues to Look for the 138 Level Agains

Ultimately, the US dollar demonstrated a rally against the Japanese yen, indicating renewed strength. 

  • The USD/JPY exhibited a rally on Monday, indicating renewed strength as the Japanese yen continues to face the consequences of quantitative easing measures.
  • Given the fluctuating risk appetite, this market is expected to maintain a high level of volatility, resulting in back-and-forth price action.
  • It is important to note that the currency pair has been characterized by significant choppiness recently and is currently within a major ascending triangle formation. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lies just below Friday’s candlestick and is beginning to rise.

The yen is a popular asset during turbulent times.

Pullbacks in the market are likely to attract ample buying interest at this stage. It is worth acknowledging the prevailing concerns worldwide, which make it logical for the US dollar to attract inflows. Although the Japanese yen is traditionally regarded as a “safe-haven currency,” the Bank of Japan’s ongoing quantitative easing policies have contributed to the yen’s weakness against not only the US dollar but also other currencies. Consequently, the market is expected to continue exhibiting choppy but upward behavior. If this pattern persists, there will likely be ample opportunities to enter the market whenever it experiences minor pullbacks.

However, should the US dollar drop below the 50-Day EMA, the market could decline toward the ¥134 level. Breaking below ¥134 would potentially lead to a test of the underlying uptrend line, which has played a significant role in shaping the overall market sentiment within the ascending triangle formation. Ultimately, if the market reverses its direction and rallies from the current levels, it could target the ¥138 level. Breaking above ¥138 would set the stage for a “buy and hold” scenario, potentially propelling the USD/JPY pair towards the ¥148 level.

Ultimately, the US dollar demonstrated a rally against the Japanese yen, indicating renewed strength. Volatility is expected to persist in this market due to fluctuating risk appetite. The currency pair’s recent choppiness and its position within an ascending triangle formation highlight the current market dynamics. While the Japanese yen is traditionally seen as a safe-haven currency, the Bank of Japan’s quantitative easing measures have contributed to its weakness. Pullbacks in the market are likely to attract buying interest, given the prevailing concerns globally. However, a drop below the 50-Day EMA could lead to a decline towards ¥134, while a reversal and rally from current levels could target ¥138 and potentially open the door for further gains towards ¥148.


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