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Impetus Delivered but Additional Risk Events Coming

The USD/CAD has resumed its lower price range after yesterday’s slightly weaker than anticipated U.S inflation report via the Consumer Price Index results.



The USD/CAD is trading near the 1.34360 ratios as of this writing, the currency pair has turned lower since the publication of the U.S CPI numbers which came in weaker than expected.  While yesterday’s economic numbers from the U.S. served as an impetus for the USD/CAD to track downward, there are more risk events on the calendar today and tomorrow for the Forex pair’s results will certainly stir.

As the USD/CAD trades near short-term lows this morning, a lower support level is within plain sight of traders who are considering where the behavioral sentiment will take the currency pair next. On the 4th of April the USD/CAD traversed near the 1.34100 vicinities before reversing higher and eventually almost hitting the 1.35520 mark this Monday on the 10th.

Financial markets have been dealing with a complex puzzle, but yesterday’s U.S. CPI statistics may have affirmed the belief the U.S. Federal Reserve may have to consider a less aggressive monetary policy stance. Today the U.S. will release its Producer Price Index numbers and this inflation data could serve as a solid combination punch for the USD/CAD to remain bearish, if the results can come in weaker than expected.

  • While the USD/CAD traverses near lows, today’s and tomorrow’s U.S. data will play a role in how the currency pair trades before going into the weekend.
  • Technical traders who are intent on pursuing support levels below should be mindful of the PPI numbers today, and the Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment figures tomorrow from the U.S.

If the 1.34200 to 1.34100 support levels do start to get challenged today it will likely take weaker-than-anticipated inflation results via the U.S PPI numbers to sustain momentum downward. If the USD/CAD is able to seriously challenge the 1.34100 mark, this would be a one-month low and then make technical traders take a look at three-month charts which clearly show the USD/CAD traded below the 1.34000 level in February of this year. In fact, the USD/CAD also traded below the 1.33000 ratios in the last week of January and the first week of February.

However, before traders become overly ambitious they must acknowledge today’s and tomorrow’s U.S economic reports will impact the USD/CAD. If the combination of the statistics is weaker than expected, yes, the USD/CAD could see more selling ignite which could test important lower depths. This is Forex and day traders who make bets before the PPI and Retail numbers are published must accept the dangers and be prepared with risk management.

Current Resistance: 1.34510

Current Support: 1.34275

High Target: 1.34790

Low Target: 1.33815


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