The Index is Receiving a Posit

Technically, the index found some positive support after relying on its simple moving average for the previous 50-day period, which gave it positive momentum for this recent rise.

• The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose during its recent trading on the intraday levels, to achieve gains in its last sessions by 0.39%, gaining about 129.84 points.
• It settled at the end of trading at the level of 33,826.70, after its decline during Thursday’s trading by -1.26%.
• During last week’s trading, the index recorded its third consecutive weekly loss, at a rate of -0.13%, marking the longest weekly losing streak since September.

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The movement will return to the index with the resumption of trading in the US markets after a long holiday week due to President’s Day. Inflation and the strong US economy may put the Federal Reserve on the path of more interest rate hikes and for longer periods of time than previously expected, especially after Economic data week which indicated rising inflation, a strong labor market, and resilient consumer spending.

In light of this, analysts at Goldman Sachs and Bank of America expected three more interest rate increases this year by a quarter of a percentage point each. Higher than their previous estimate of only two interest rate hikes, while most investors expect at least two additional interest rate increases and believe that the interest rate will peak at 5.3% by July as the central bank tries to calm the economy and reduce inflation.

Looking ahead, the PCE price index will complete the overall picture, as economists expect core PCE on a year-on-year basis to decline by 10 basis points to 4.3%. Markets await minutes from the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve meeting later Wednesday.

Dow Jones Technical Analysis

Technically, the index found some positive support after relying on its simple moving average for the previous 50-day period, which gave it positive momentum for this recent rise. Considering its attempts to form a positive technical pattern in the short term, which is the symmetrical triangle pattern, as shown in the attached chart for a period (daily). The recent rise in the index came despite the presence of negative signs in the relative strength indicators.

Therefore, our expectations suggest more rise for the index during its upcoming trading, to target once again the pivotal and stubborn 34,281.36 resistance level, in preparation for attacking it.