Overall, the market is overbought, and a correction makes sense.
- The British pound attempted to rally during Friday’s trading session, but it continues to face resistance in the 1.24 level, which had previously been a double top and now appears to be forming a triple top.
- The GBP/USD exchange rate is paying close attention to this level, and resistance could run all the way to the 1.25 level.
- Additionally, any flight to safety towards the US dollar could impact the pound.
If we break down, we could see the market drop to the 1.22 level, where the 50-Day EMA is currently located. The 200-Day EMA is just below that level, which suggests that there could be a lot of buying pressure in that general vicinity. However, if we break through that level, we could see a move down to the 1.1850 level, which is the bottom of the overall big range that we have been in. I don’t US getting out of that anytime soon, at least not until we see some type of major change in the overall fundamental situation between the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as the overall economic situation.
Overall, the market is overbought, and a correction makes sense. With the global economy facing uncertainties, demand for the US dollar may increase due to the lack of global growth and rising interest rates in America. If interest rates start to drop again, it may allow the British pound to rally a bit. Regardless, traders should expect a certain amount of noisy behavior in the market, but there’s probably a higher likelihood of the market falling than rising due to being at the top of a major consolidation area.
At the end of the day, traders should be cautious when dealing with the British pound. The resistance and support levels should be monitored closely, and traders should be prepared to adjust their strategies based on changing market conditions. Given the current state of the global economy and the interest rate environment, it’s important to be mindful of potential fluctuations and uncertainties in the coming weeks and months. Overall, you are going to need to be very cautious with your position size, as we will have sudden moves, therefore it’s likely that we continue to see caution be in the better part of valor, as I anticipate that there are a lot of shocks ahead.
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